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Sep 30, 2006 

Great Values In Miami, Baltimore During Week Four

Nevermind that San Diego is undefeated and rested after a week three bye. Look for that early break to slowdown what was a sterling team effort in week’s one and two. Baltimore (+2½) is for real, at least, in the early going. The Ravens are also 3-0 against the spread. You can’t get a better value this week than putting 20 on the underdogs.

Miami’s (-3½) anemic offense will hopefully be rejuvenated this week and the porous Houston Texans defense is just the tonic Daunte Culpepper needs. Despite the new vibe in Miami , Nick Saban hasn’t been able to get show going as of yet. With the way that the AFC East is shaping up a strong push right about now might make the Dolphins the team to beat. Vegas doesn’t seem too high on the Dolphins this week making the road favorite a good pick.

Many of the lines make for some turbulent betting. The only way to formulate a Pick 3 would be to go out on a limb and gamble on the hometown Oakland Raiders (+3) over the winless Cleveland Browns. Over the past four years the Raiders are 13-37. In all of those years they have either come back to earth or risen to mediocrity by week four before having the whole season go to crap. They can’t be as bad as the ugliest 0-2 in football and last week’s bye will hopefully teach offensive coordinator Tom Walsh the basics of 21st century play-calling.

The Record: 9-1-1
Last Week: 2-1-1.
The Wager: $40 Pick 3.
The Winnings: $340.