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Oct 29, 2006 

Bengals Bring Falcons Back To Earth

We'll keep rolling with the Bengals (-3 1/2) despite the liklihood of another tight game against a good team and with the spread this week against the rejuvenated Falcons. With the assumption that Cincy is going to represent the AFC, you have to take them even though the Falcons come to Paul Brown Stadium high off a rousing win over the Super Bowl champs. Cincy isn't the Steelers in disarray nor is Michael Vick at home at the cozy Georgia Dome. This may come down to a field goal again for the Bengals meaning the extra half point will be a blessing.

The Pack is not back, but Favre and Green Bay (-4) is good enough to threaten mediocrity, at best. This is an intriguing matchup Vegas-wise. Are the Cardinals done? They will be if they lose a seventh game. The Packers are far from a lock, Arizona seems on the verge of a major coaching shake-up and that will be hastened when the follow-up a blown opportunity after last week's loss to the then-winless Raiders.

Whenever the opportunity, go against the Browns. This will be the fifth week doing so and it's like stealing candy from an unsuspecting trick-or-treater. Uncertainly with the Jets (+2) makes this pick a bit of a risk, but whether its in Cleveland or any other city, the Browns have been figured out by the spread and can't beat anybody except the Raiders. Plus, any free points to the underdog is an added blessing.

How can you resist giving the Colts (+3) a three-point advantage before the game even starts. The Colts are not the nearly undefeated juggernaut of last season, but neither is Denver as good as advertised. Denver's defense is vastly overrated and these things have a way of evening out statistically. Peyton Manning is going to show that the AFC West is truly up for grabs, except for one team that has been mentioned three times without even being prognosticated upon.

A great, but under-appreciated game awaits Monday Night. Both New England and Minnesota (+2) are likely playoff participants, but this game comes down to a pick 'em game. It's this simple the Vikes are at home with two points. I so bad wanted to take the Chiefs/Seahawks game, but chickened out.

The Record: 17-8-2.
Last Week: 4-0-1.
The Wager: $20 Pick 5
The Winnings: $260.00